A win in this match would put either side in a strong position to secure a place in the knockout round of the Copa Libertadores. Should Botafogo fail to pick up three points in the concurrent fixture, Universidad de Chile would be virtually assured of progressing to the next round.
Universidad de Chile are playing at home, a factor that could prove decisive. They currently lead the group despite having hosted just one match so far. Most of their points (four) have come on the road. In La Plata, they beat Estudiantes de La Plata (2:1). That match started at a frantic pace, with all three goals scored in the opening 10 minutes. It was a comeback win for Universidad de Chile, who went behind as early as the third minute.
Despite the loss, Estudiantes de La Plata generated more attacking threat: they created three clear-cut chances compared to two, posted a higher expected goals value (1.65-0.89 in xG), and had a better shot conversion rate (18.2% compared to 6.7%). Their wins over Carabobo FC and Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas in the Copa Libertadores stand in contrast to their domestic form since April. Aside from their match against Universidad de Chile, the Argentine side have not won a single league game, drawing twice and losing three times.
We expect Estudiantes de La Plata to provide a stern test, but ultimately believe they are beatable. The hosts have shown greater efficiency in front of goal, and six wins in their last seven outings underline their form and confidence.
